Scouting Report
Chris Kelly holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Kelly on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 50.1% vs Josefson 48.8% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Kelly leads 11-8 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Kelly 50.5%
Defensive zone
Kelly 60.1%
Neutral zone
Kelly 57.3%
Result
Chris Kelly favored at 57.1%
57.1%
42.9%
Kelly
Josefson
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
8
(19 meetings)
11
8
Kelly
Josefson
Last 10: Kelly 4-6 Josefson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
2
1
Kelly
Josefson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Kelly
Josefson
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kelly
6
4
Kelly
Josefson
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Josefson
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (3,010)
48.8% (2,339)
+2.3%
Power Play
60.6% (71)
51.9% (185)
+8.7%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (689)
45.8% (312)
-1.1%
On power play, Kelly has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Josefson shoots left. Kelly is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,408).
Kelly shoots left. Josefson is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,888).
Home / Away
Kelly
Josefson
Home
52.6% (1,965)
50.5% (1,517)
Away
47.4% (1,813)
46.8% (1,329)
By Period
Kelly
Josefson
P1
49.2%
46.4%
P2
49.1%
50.1%
P3
51.9%
49.8%
OT
53.5%
37.5%
Final 5 min
50.3%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
50.1%
Josefson
42.0%▼
44.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2017 | 2 | 18:01 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 16, 2017 | 2 | 04:25 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 2 | 01:15 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |
| Nov 10, 2014 | 2 | 17:41 | Offensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Nov 10, 2014 | 1 | 01:43 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 3 | 09:26 | Defensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Mar 1, 2012 | 3 | 10:27 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 1, 2012 | 3 | 01:52 | Defensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Mar 1, 2012 | 2 | 01:57 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 1, 2012 | 1 | 08:10 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |
| Mar 1, 2012 | 1 | 01:13 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 19, 2012 | 2 | 14:08 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 19, 2012 | 2 | 01:39 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 19, 2012 | 1 | 14:31 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Apr 10, 2011 | 3 | 15:44 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Apr 10, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |
| Apr 10, 2011 | 1 | 02:20 | Defensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Mar 22, 2011 | 3 | 17:09 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 22, 2011 | 1 | 17:12 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |