Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.8% vs 51.1%). Look for Kelly on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 51.6% vs Josefson 50.9% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kelly 53.6%
Defensive zone
Kelly 56.2%
Neutral zone
Kelly 51.6%
Result
Chris Kelly favored at 53.0%
53.0%
47.0%
Kelly
Josefson
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Kelly
Josefson
Last 8: Kelly 6-2 Josefson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
1
0
Kelly
Josefson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kelly
Josefson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kelly
4
1
Kelly
Josefson
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Josefson
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (686)
51.5% (301)
-0.2%
Power Play
69.2% (26)
50.0% (8)
+19.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (92)
46.2% (39)
+3.8%
On power play, Kelly has a +19.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Josefson shoots left. Kelly is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Kelly shoots left. Josefson is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (258).
Home / Away
Kelly
Josefson
Home
52.3% (388)
53.7% (216)
Away
51.3% (421)
47.1% (138)
By Period
Kelly
Josefson
P1
50.0%
51.9%
P2
51.7%
50.8%
P3
53.0%
50.4%
OT
61.5%
100.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
51.8%
Josefson
42.0%▼
44.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2012 | 3 | 10:27 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 1, 2012 | 3 | 01:52 | Defensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Mar 1, 2012 | 2 | 01:57 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 1, 2012 | 1 | 08:10 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |
| Mar 1, 2012 | 1 | 01:13 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 19, 2012 | 2 | 14:08 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 19, 2012 | 2 | 01:39 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 19, 2012 | 1 | 14:31 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |