Scouting Report
Jansen Harkins holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 50.1% vs Harkins 52.4% (-2.8%)
Offensive zone
Harkins 51.6%
Defensive zone
Kelly 57.2%
Neutral zone
Kelly 50.2%
Result
Chris Kelly favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Kelly
Harkins
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Harkins
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (3,010)
51.1% (403)
+0.0%
Power Play
60.6% (71)
80.0% (10)
-19.4%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (689)
59.4% (69)
-14.7%
On power play, Harkins has a +19.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Harkins shoots left. Kelly is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,408).
Kelly shoots left. Harkins is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (316).
Home / Away
Kelly
Harkins
Home
52.6% (1,965)
55.7% (244)
Away
47.4% (1,813)
50.0% (238)
By Period
Kelly
Harkins
P1
49.2%
60.8%
P2
49.1%
45.1%
P3
51.9%
53.1%
Final 5 min
50.3%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
50.1%
Harkins
48.0%▼
50.5%
52.9%