Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 51.6% vs Beagle 55.2% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kelly 72.6%
Defensive zone
Kelly 72.1%
Neutral zone
Kelly 71.7%
Result
Chris Kelly favored at 72.0%
72.0%
28.0%
Kelly
Beagle
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Kelly
Beagle
Last 7: Kelly 1-6 Beagle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
0
1
Kelly
Beagle
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
0
3
Kelly
Beagle
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beagle
1
2
Kelly
Beagle
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Beagle
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (686)
60.7% (173)
-9.4%
Power Play
69.2% (26)
25.0% (4)
+44.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (92)
44.1% (34)
+5.9%
On power play, Kelly has a +44.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beagle shoots right. Kelly is 50.8% vs right-shot opponents (248).
Kelly shoots left. Beagle is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (145).
Home / Away
Kelly
Beagle
Home
52.3% (388)
58.3% (115)
Away
51.3% (421)
57.0% (100)
By Period
Kelly
Beagle
P1
50.0%
57.1%
P2
51.7%
55.6%
P3
53.0%
62.1%
OT
61.5%
42.9%
Final 5 min
50.0%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
51.8%
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
57.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2012 | OT | 01:57 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 29, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 2 | 08:15 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 2 | 05:16 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 2 | 04:58 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 1 | 07:50 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 24, 2012 | 1 | 18:01 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |