Scouting Report
Chris Kelly holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kelly wins 61.7% vs right-shot opponents — Beagle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 56.2% vs Beagle 55.0% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kelly 53.6%
Defensive zone
Kelly 50.3%
Neutral zone
Kelly 55.3%
Result
Chris Kelly favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
Kelly
Beagle
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Kelly
Beagle
Last 5: Kelly 3-2 Beagle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
1
2
Kelly
Beagle
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
2
0
Kelly
Beagle
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Beagle
Edge
Even Strength
58.7% (298)
55.7% (318)
+3.0%
Power Play
100.0% (8)
45.5% (11)
+54.5%
Penalty Kill
49.3% (67)
58.3% (115)
-9.0%
On power play, Kelly has a +54.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beagle shoots right. Kelly is 61.7% vs right-shot opponents (141).
Kelly shoots left. Beagle is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (313).
Home / Away
Kelly
Beagle
Home
60.0% (200)
58.0% (226)
Away
55.5% (173)
54.1% (218)
By Period
Kelly
Beagle
P1
55.9%
54.7%
P2
58.4%
57.7%
P3
60.9%
56.1%
OT
37.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
60.0%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
57.9%
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2013 | 3 | 09:35 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 3 | 08:28 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 3 | 05:24 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 3 | 05:15 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 3 | 02:20 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |