Scouting Report
Jay McClement holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for McClement on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 50.1% vs McClement 52.7% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Kelly leads 10-8 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Kelly 50.7%
Defensive zone
McClement 70.8%
Neutral zone
McClement 59.4%
Result
Jay McClement favored at 60.5%
39.5%
60.5%
Kelly
McClement
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
8
(18 meetings)
10
8
Kelly
McClement
Last 10: Kelly 5-5 McClement
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
5
1
Kelly
McClement
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McClement
1
6
Kelly
McClement
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kelly
4
1
Kelly
McClement
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
McClement
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (3,010)
54.4% (4,305)
-3.3%
Power Play
60.6% (71)
62.5% (104)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (689)
47.2% (1,440)
-2.5%
On even strength, McClement has a +3.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McClement shoots left. Kelly is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,408).
Kelly shoots left. McClement is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,802).
Home / Away
Kelly
McClement
Home
52.6% (1,965)
55.4% (2,788)
Away
47.4% (1,813)
50.4% (3,083)
By Period
Kelly
McClement
P1
49.2%
53.5%
P2
49.1%
52.0%
P3
51.9%
53.2%
OT
53.5%
47.9%
Final 5 min
50.3%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
50.1%
McClement
48.0%▲
46.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2017 | 1 | 18:00 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Nov 26, 2016 | 1 | 01:20 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 3 | 07:40 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 1 | 06:38 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 1 | 04:32 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 1 | 04:31 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 29, 2015 | 1 | 02:31 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Jan 4, 2015 | OT | 01:33 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Jan 4, 2015 | 3 | 13:01 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Apr 3, 2014 | 2 | 08:48 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 9, 2013 | 3 | 11:08 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Nov 9, 2013 | 1 | 17:24 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 9, 2013 | 1 | 11:36 | Offensive | Jay McClement |
| Nov 9, 2013 | 1 | 06:00 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 9, 2013 | 1 | 01:19 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Oct 10, 2011 | 2 | 08:50 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Nov 19, 2010 | 1 | 15:44 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 19, 2010 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |