Scouting Report
Chris Kelly holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 51.6% vs Skinner 45.2% (+9.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kelly 60.8%
Defensive zone
Kelly 88.7%
Neutral zone
Kelly 75.2%
Result
Chris Kelly favored at 77.7%
77.7%
22.3%
Kelly
Skinner
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Kelly
Skinner
Last 5: Kelly 4-1 Skinner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
1
0
Kelly
Skinner
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kelly
Skinner
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kelly
2
0
Kelly
Skinner
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Skinner
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (686)
41.6% (149)
+9.7%
Power Play
69.2% (26)
60.0% (5)
+9.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (92)
40.0% (5)
+10.0%
On penalty kill, Kelly has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Skinner shoots left. Kelly is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Kelly shoots left. Skinner is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (113).
Home / Away
Kelly
Skinner
Home
52.3% (388)
46.8% (77)
Away
51.3% (421)
37.8% (82)
By Period
Kelly
Skinner
P1
50.0%
45.6%
P2
51.7%
40.4%
P3
53.0%
40.4%
OT
61.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.0%
41.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
51.8%
Skinner
44.0%▬
44.5%
42.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2012 | 3 | 18:19 | Defensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Feb 2, 2012 | 2 | 17:31 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 2, 2012 | 2 | 17:26 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 2, 2012 | 2 | 13:10 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 2, 2012 | 1 | 19:42 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |