Scouting Report
Chris Kelly holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Kelly on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 50.1% vs Skinner 44.7% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Skinner 86.0%
Defensive zone
Kelly 96.0%
Neutral zone
Kelly 80.3%
Result
Chris Kelly favored at 79.9%
79.9%
20.1%
Kelly
Skinner
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Kelly
Skinner
Last 8: Kelly 6-2 Skinner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
1
0
Kelly
Skinner
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
3
1
Kelly
Skinner
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kelly
2
1
Kelly
Skinner
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Skinner
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (3,010)
42.3% (1,317)
+8.8%
Power Play
60.6% (71)
52.0% (404)
+8.6%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (689)
33.3% (15)
+11.4%
On penalty kill, Kelly has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Skinner shoots left. Kelly is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,408).
Kelly shoots left. Skinner is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,097).
Home / Away
Kelly
Skinner
Home
52.6% (1,965)
48.2% (949)
Away
47.4% (1,813)
39.9% (791)
By Period
Kelly
Skinner
P1
49.2%
41.6%
P2
49.1%
46.0%
P3
51.9%
46.4%
OT
53.5%
23.5%
Final 5 min
50.3%
46.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
50.1%
Skinner
44.0%▬
44.5%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2012 | 3 | 18:19 | Defensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Feb 2, 2012 | 2 | 17:31 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 2, 2012 | 2 | 17:26 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 2, 2012 | 2 | 13:10 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 2, 2012 | 1 | 19:42 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Dec 29, 2010 | 2 | 08:49 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Dec 29, 2010 | 2 | 04:10 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Dec 29, 2010 | 1 | 16:20 | Neutral | Jeff Skinner |