Scouting Report
Joe Vitale holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Kelly wins 61.7% vs right-shot opponents — Vitale shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 56.2% vs Vitale 58.0% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Vitale 78.5%
Defensive zone
Kelly 50.6%
Neutral zone
Vitale 58.6%
Result
Joe Vitale favored at 62.2%
37.8%
62.2%
Kelly
Vitale
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Kelly
Vitale
Last 6: Kelly 5-1 Vitale
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
2
0
Kelly
Vitale
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
2
0
Kelly
Vitale
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kelly
Vitale
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Vitale
Edge
Even Strength
58.7% (298)
60.2% (251)
-1.5%
Power Play
100.0% (8)
100.0% (1)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
49.3% (67)
100.0% (5)
-50.7%
On penalty kill, Vitale has a +50.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Vitale shoots right. Kelly is 61.7% vs right-shot opponents (141).
Kelly shoots left. Vitale is 66.2% vs left-shot opponents (157).
Home / Away
Kelly
Vitale
Home
60.0% (200)
62.8% (121)
Away
55.5% (173)
59.6% (136)
By Period
Kelly
Vitale
P1
55.9%
51.8%
P2
58.4%
57.1%
P3
60.9%
73.3%
Final 5 min
60.0%
65.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
57.9%
Vitale
44.0%▼
48.0%
61.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2013 | 3 | 09:34 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Apr 20, 2013 | 3 | 02:56 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Apr 20, 2013 | 2 | 04:17 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Apr 20, 2013 | 2 | 03:59 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Apr 20, 2013 | 1 | 12:36 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Apr 20, 2013 | 1 | 12:21 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |