Scouting Report
Chris Kelly holds a +14.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 50.8% vs Matsumoto 43.7% (+14.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kelly 67.5%
Defensive zone
Kelly 89.5%
Neutral zone
Kelly 83.8%
Result
Chris Kelly favored at 78.4%
78.4%
21.6%
Kelly
Matsumoto
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Kelly
Matsumoto
Last 5: Kelly 4-1 Matsumoto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
2
0
Kelly
Matsumoto
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matsumoto
0
1
Kelly
Matsumoto
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kelly
2
0
Kelly
Matsumoto
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Matsumoto
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (723)
34.2% (76)
+17.7%
Power Play
54.2% (24)
100.0% (1)
-45.8%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (166)
33.3% (3)
+13.1%
On power play, Matsumoto has a +45.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Matsumoto shoots left. Kelly is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (605).
Kelly shoots left. Matsumoto is 40.0% vs left-shot opponents (65).
Home / Away
Kelly
Matsumoto
Home
53.8% (442)
41.8% (55)
Away
48.1% (474)
25.0% (28)
By Period
Kelly
Matsumoto
P1
50.2%
20.0%
P2
47.6%
41.9%
P3
54.5%
40.6%
Final 5 min
52.8%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
50.9%
Matsumoto
34.0%▼
36.9%
36.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2010 | 3 | 14:11 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 17, 2010 | 3 | 13:44 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 17, 2010 | 3 | 04:56 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 17, 2010 | 3 | 04:52 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 17, 2010 | 1 | 05:23 | Defensive | Jon Matsumoto |