Scouting Report
Chris Kelly holds a +13.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 50.1% vs Matsumoto 44.0% (+13.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kelly 70.2%
Defensive zone
Kelly 90.1%
Neutral zone
Kelly 81.1%
Result
Chris Kelly favored at 78.5%
78.5%
21.5%
Kelly
Matsumoto
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Kelly
Matsumoto
Last 5: Kelly 4-1 Matsumoto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
2
0
Kelly
Matsumoto
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matsumoto
0
1
Kelly
Matsumoto
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kelly
2
0
Kelly
Matsumoto
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Matsumoto
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (3,010)
35.1% (77)
+16.0%
Power Play
60.6% (71)
100.0% (1)
-39.4%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (689)
33.3% (3)
+11.4%
On power play, Matsumoto has a +39.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Matsumoto shoots left. Kelly is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,408).
Kelly shoots left. Matsumoto is 40.9% vs left-shot opponents (66).
Home / Away
Kelly
Matsumoto
Home
52.6% (1,965)
42.9% (56)
Away
47.4% (1,813)
25.0% (28)
By Period
Kelly
Matsumoto
P1
49.2%
23.8%
P2
49.1%
41.9%
P3
51.9%
40.6%
Final 5 min
50.3%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
50.1%
Matsumoto
34.0%▼
36.9%
36.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2010 | 3 | 14:11 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 17, 2010 | 3 | 13:44 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 17, 2010 | 3 | 04:56 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 17, 2010 | 3 | 04:52 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 17, 2010 | 1 | 05:23 | Defensive | Jon Matsumoto |