Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 17 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 50.1% vs Staal 55.3% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 29-12 in 41 meetings
Offensive zone
Kelly 90.4%
Defensive zone
Kelly 82.6%
Neutral zone
Kelly 82.0%
Result
Chris Kelly favored at 85.7%
85.7%
14.3%
Kelly
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
29
(41 meetings)
12
29
Kelly
Staal
Last 10: Kelly 2-8 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
15
Kelly
Staal
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
4
8
Kelly
Staal
12 total
Neutral Zone
Even
6
6
Kelly
Staal
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (3,010)
55.9% (14,620)
-4.8%
Power Play
60.6% (71)
62.7% (1,745)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (689)
48.0% (2,896)
-3.3%
On even strength, Staal has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Kelly is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,408).
Kelly shoots left. Staal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (12,773).
Home / Away
Kelly
Staal
Home
52.6% (1,965)
56.4% (9,663)
Away
47.4% (1,813)
54.3% (9,663)
By Period
Kelly
Staal
P1
49.2%
55.2%
P2
49.1%
55.9%
P3
51.9%
54.9%
OT
53.5%
56.2%
Final 5 min
50.3%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
50.1%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2016 | 2 | 08:23 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 1 | 14:37 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 1 | 07:02 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 4, 2015 | 2 | 07:49 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 4, 2015 | 2 | 04:03 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 4, 2015 | 2 | 01:48 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 4, 2015 | 1 | 17:52 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 4, 2015 | 1 | 02:52 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 15, 2014 | 3 | 15:23 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 15, 2014 | 3 | 11:47 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 15, 2014 | 3 | 08:23 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 15, 2014 | 3 | 03:51 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 15, 2014 | 2 | 07:29 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 15, 2014 | 1 | 08:19 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 15, 2014 | 1 | 08:09 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 15, 2014 | 1 | 07:57 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 23, 2013 | 3 | 16:04 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 23, 2013 | 3 | 15:56 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 23, 2013 | 3 | 01:02 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 13, 2013 | 3 | 04:10 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |