Scouting Report
Chris Kelly holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Kelly on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 50.1% vs Aucoin 48.7% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aucoin 61.4%
Defensive zone
Kelly 68.4%
Neutral zone
Kelly 58.5%
Result
Chris Kelly favored at 54.7%
54.7%
45.3%
Kelly
Aucoin
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Kelly
Aucoin
Last 8: Kelly 5-3 Aucoin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kelly
Aucoin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aucoin
0
1
Kelly
Aucoin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kelly
4
1
Kelly
Aucoin
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Aucoin
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (3,010)
47.8% (448)
+3.3%
Power Play
60.6% (71)
54.8% (31)
+5.8%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (689)
75.0% (4)
-30.3%
On penalty kill, Aucoin has a +30.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aucoin shoots left. Kelly is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,408).
Kelly shoots left. Aucoin is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (307).
Home / Away
Kelly
Aucoin
Home
52.6% (1,965)
52.6% (215)
Away
47.4% (1,813)
45.1% (268)
By Period
Kelly
Aucoin
P1
49.2%
45.8%
P2
49.1%
49.2%
P3
51.9%
51.9%
OT
53.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.3%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
50.1%
Aucoin
50.0%▲
44.5%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2013 | 2 | 03:50 | Defensive | Keith Aucoin |
| Apr 11, 2013 | 2 | 03:41 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Apr 11, 2013 | 1 | 19:39 | Neutral | Keith Aucoin |
| Apr 11, 2013 | 1 | 16:14 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 25, 2013 | 2 | 12:49 | Offensive | Keith Aucoin |
| Jan 25, 2013 | 1 | 07:22 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 1 | 08:15 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 5, 2012 | 2 | 17:27 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |