Scouting Report
Kyle Wellwood holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 51.6% vs Wellwood 52.9% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wellwood 81.9%
Defensive zone
Kelly 59.7%
Neutral zone
Wellwood 60.6%
Result
Kyle Wellwood favored at 60.9%
39.1%
60.9%
Kelly
Wellwood
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Kelly
Wellwood
Last 6: Kelly 4-2 Wellwood
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kelly
Wellwood
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kelly
Wellwood
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kelly
2
0
Kelly
Wellwood
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Wellwood
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (686)
52.2% (184)
-0.9%
Power Play
69.2% (26)
58.7% (63)
+10.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (92)
50.0% (2)
+0.0%
On power play, Kelly has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wellwood shoots right. Kelly is 50.8% vs right-shot opponents (248).
Kelly shoots left. Wellwood is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (190).
Home / Away
Kelly
Wellwood
Home
52.3% (388)
57.4% (141)
Away
51.3% (421)
49.5% (109)
By Period
Kelly
Wellwood
P1
50.0%
44.3%
P2
51.7%
63.6%
P3
53.0%
53.2%
OT
61.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
51.8%
Wellwood
54.0%▼
58.0%
54.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2012 | 2 | 12:29 | Defensive | Kyle Wellwood |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 3 | 01:24 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Dec 6, 2011 | 3 | 16:47 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Dec 6, 2011 | 3 | 09:17 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Dec 6, 2011 | 2 | 19:03 | Offensive | Kyle Wellwood |
| Dec 6, 2011 | 1 | 16:26 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |