Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.1% vs 50.9%). Look for Kelly on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 50.1% vs Savard 50.7% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Savard 61.6%
Defensive zone
Kelly 70.4%
Neutral zone
Kelly 54.3%
Result
Chris Kelly favored at 54.3%
54.3%
45.7%
Kelly
Savard
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Kelly
Savard
Last 7: Kelly 3-4 Savard
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Savard
0
2
Kelly
Savard
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kelly
Savard
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kelly
2
1
Kelly
Savard
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Savard
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (3,010)
49.8% (253)
+1.3%
Power Play
60.6% (71)
54.4% (68)
+6.2%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (689)
33.3% (3)
+11.4%
On penalty kill, Kelly has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Savard shoots left. Kelly is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,408).
Kelly shoots left. Savard is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (195).
Home / Away
Kelly
Savard
Home
52.6% (1,965)
54.1% (172)
Away
47.4% (1,813)
47.4% (156)
By Period
Kelly
Savard
P1
49.2%
57.7%
P2
49.1%
48.8%
P3
51.9%
46.2%
OT
53.5%
40.0%
Final 5 min
50.3%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
50.1%
Savard
52.0%▲
50.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2011 | 3 | 14:56 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 11, 2011 | 3 | 14:50 | Offensive | Marc Savard |
| Jan 11, 2011 | 2 | 15:58 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 11, 2011 | 2 | 00:12 | Offensive | Marc Savard |
| Jan 11, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marc Savard |
| Jan 11, 2011 | 1 | 16:51 | Defensive | Marc Savard |
| Jan 11, 2011 | 1 | 03:33 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |