Scouting Report
Marcel Goc holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Goc on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 50.1% vs Goc 52.3% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Goc leads 15-12 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Kelly 52.5%
Defensive zone
Kelly 54.2%
Neutral zone
Kelly 56.4%
Result
Chris Kelly favored at 54.1%
54.1%
45.9%
Kelly
Goc
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
15
(27 meetings)
12
15
Kelly
Goc
Last 10: Kelly 4-6 Goc
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Goc
4
6
Kelly
Goc
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Goc
5
6
Kelly
Goc
11 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Kelly
Goc
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Goc
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (3,010)
53.0% (3,301)
-1.9%
Power Play
60.6% (71)
58.0% (314)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (689)
47.4% (728)
-2.7%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Goc shoots left. Kelly is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,408).
Kelly shoots left. Goc is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,768).
Home / Away
Kelly
Goc
Home
52.6% (1,965)
53.9% (2,079)
Away
47.4% (1,813)
51.0% (2,296)
By Period
Kelly
Goc
P1
49.2%
51.9%
P2
49.1%
53.1%
P3
51.9%
52.4%
OT
53.5%
44.9%
Final 5 min
50.3%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
50.1%
Goc
52.0%▼
55.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2014 | 3 | 16:43 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |
| Mar 4, 2014 | 2 | 10:20 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 28, 2014 | 3 | 02:35 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 28, 2014 | 1 | 05:04 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 28, 2014 | 1 | 04:56 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Nov 7, 2013 | 3 | 13:21 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Nov 7, 2013 | 3 | 10:39 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |
| Nov 7, 2013 | 2 | 12:45 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Nov 7, 2013 | 2 | 01:25 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 7, 2013 | 1 | 14:30 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |
| Nov 7, 2013 | 1 | 08:00 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Oct 17, 2013 | 2 | 12:32 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Oct 17, 2013 | 2 | 09:11 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Oct 17, 2013 | 1 | 18:20 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |
| Apr 21, 2013 | 3 | 13:13 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Apr 21, 2013 | 1 | 18:47 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 24, 2013 | 1 | 15:38 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Feb 24, 2013 | 1 | 12:31 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 24, 2013 | 1 | 07:57 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 15, 2012 | 2 | 05:01 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |