Scouting Report
Chris Kelly holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Kelly on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Kelly wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Read shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 50.1% vs Read 42.2% (+9.4%)
H2H factor
Kelly leads 10-1 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Kelly 70.9%
Defensive zone
Kelly 92.6%
Neutral zone
Kelly 86.9%
Result
Chris Kelly favored at 80.7%
80.7%
19.3%
Kelly
Read
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
1
(11 meetings)
10
1
Kelly
Read
Last 10: Kelly 9-1 Read
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
4
1
Kelly
Read
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
2
0
Kelly
Read
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kelly
4
0
Kelly
Read
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Read
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (3,010)
42.0% (395)
+9.1%
Power Play
60.6% (71)
41.5% (41)
+19.1%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (689)
33.3% (87)
+11.4%
On power play, Kelly has a +19.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Read shoots right. Kelly is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,370).
Kelly shoots left. Read is 37.5% vs left-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Kelly
Read
Home
52.6% (1,965)
42.8% (250)
Away
47.4% (1,813)
38.8% (276)
By Period
Kelly
Read
P1
49.2%
42.5%
P2
49.1%
41.5%
P3
51.9%
38.1%
OT
53.5%
44.4%
Final 5 min
50.3%
37.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
50.1%
Read
44.0%▲
39.5%
40.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2012 | 2 | 05:29 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 17, 2012 | 1 | 11:58 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 17, 2012 | 1 | 06:23 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 17, 2012 | 1 | 05:53 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 17, 2012 | 1 | 01:55 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 22, 2012 | 2 | 16:38 | Offensive | Matt Read |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 3 | 15:29 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 2 | 11:24 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 2 | 08:59 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 1 | 17:21 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Oct 6, 2011 | 2 | 06:10 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |