Scouting Report
Chris Kelly holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Talbot on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 51.6% vs Talbot 45.1% (+7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kelly 61.4%
Defensive zone
Talbot 63.2%
Neutral zone
Talbot 51.4%
Result
Max Talbot favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Kelly
Talbot
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Kelly
Talbot
Last 7: Kelly 3-4 Talbot
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
1
0
Kelly
Talbot
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kelly
Talbot
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Talbot
1
3
Kelly
Talbot
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Talbot
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (686)
45.1% (450)
+6.2%
Power Play
69.2% (26)
50.0% (20)
+19.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (92)
40.5% (163)
+9.5%
On power play, Kelly has a +19.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Talbot shoots left. Kelly is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Kelly shoots left. Talbot is 44.8% vs left-shot opponents (433).
Home / Away
Kelly
Talbot
Home
52.3% (388)
47.8% (295)
Away
51.3% (421)
41.4% (345)
By Period
Kelly
Talbot
P1
50.0%
47.0%
P2
51.7%
41.5%
P3
53.0%
44.5%
OT
61.5%
44.4%
Final 5 min
50.0%
46.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
51.8%
Talbot
46.0%▲
43.5%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2012 | 1 | 09:01 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 2 | 19:41 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Oct 6, 2011 | 3 | 19:57 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Oct 6, 2011 | 3 | 14:34 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Oct 6, 2011 | 1 | 19:10 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Oct 6, 2011 | 1 | 10:43 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |