Scouting Report
Chris Kelly holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Talbot on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 50.1% vs Talbot 47.0% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Talbot leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Talbot 52.6%
Defensive zone
Talbot 53.5%
Neutral zone
Talbot 51.8%
Result
Max Talbot favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Kelly
Talbot
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Kelly
Talbot
Last 10: Kelly 5-5 Talbot
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
1
0
Kelly
Talbot
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Kelly
Talbot
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Talbot
2
5
Kelly
Talbot
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Talbot
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (3,010)
48.3% (1,738)
+2.8%
Power Play
60.6% (71)
49.0% (51)
+11.6%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (689)
42.3% (631)
+2.4%
On power play, Kelly has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Talbot shoots left. Kelly is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,408).
Kelly shoots left. Talbot is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,539).
Home / Away
Kelly
Talbot
Home
52.6% (1,965)
48.0% (1,219)
Away
47.4% (1,813)
45.8% (1,215)
By Period
Kelly
Talbot
P1
49.2%
48.7%
P2
49.1%
43.5%
P3
51.9%
48.6%
OT
53.5%
45.0%
Final 5 min
50.3%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
50.1%
Talbot
46.0%▲
43.5%
46.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2012 | 1 | 09:01 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 2 | 19:41 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Oct 6, 2011 | 3 | 19:57 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Oct 6, 2011 | 3 | 14:34 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Oct 6, 2011 | 1 | 19:10 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Oct 6, 2011 | 1 | 10:43 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Dec 26, 2010 | 3 | 08:13 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Dec 26, 2010 | 3 | 04:55 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Dec 26, 2010 | 2 | 11:51 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 3 | 05:05 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Oct 18, 2010 | 1 | 17:02 | Neutral | Max Talbot |