Scouting Report
Chris Kelly holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kelly on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 51.6% vs Handzus 50.6% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Kelly leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Kelly 52.5%
Defensive zone
Kelly 55.0%
Neutral zone
Handzus 51.8%
Result
Chris Kelly favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Kelly
Handzus
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
3
(12 meetings)
9
3
Kelly
Handzus
Last 10: Kelly 8-2 Handzus
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
2
0
Kelly
Handzus
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
2
1
Kelly
Handzus
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kelly
5
2
Kelly
Handzus
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Handzus
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (686)
49.6% (682)
+1.7%
Power Play
69.2% (26)
61.6% (73)
+7.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (92)
51.7% (58)
-1.7%
On power play, Kelly has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Handzus shoots left. Kelly is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Kelly shoots left. Handzus is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (534).
Home / Away
Kelly
Handzus
Home
52.3% (388)
51.7% (472)
Away
51.3% (421)
49.3% (343)
By Period
Kelly
Handzus
P1
50.0%
51.9%
P2
51.7%
51.5%
P3
53.0%
48.1%
OT
61.5%
100.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
51.8%
Handzus
50.0%▼
51.5%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2012 | 3 | 15:21 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 22, 2012 | 3 | 13:19 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 22, 2012 | 3 | 09:15 | Neutral | Michal Handzus |
| Mar 22, 2012 | 3 | 03:05 | Defensive | Michal Handzus |
| Mar 22, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 22, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Oct 22, 2011 | 3 | 15:36 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Oct 22, 2011 | 3 | 14:20 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Oct 22, 2011 | 3 | 11:37 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Oct 22, 2011 | 3 | 02:43 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Oct 22, 2011 | 1 | 17:44 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Oct 22, 2011 | 1 | 01:12 | Neutral | Michal Handzus |