Scouting Report
Michal Handzus holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Kelly on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 50.1% vs Handzus 51.4% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Kelly leads 10-3 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Handzus 70.5%
Defensive zone
Handzus 55.5%
Neutral zone
Handzus 61.5%
Result
Michal Handzus favored at 61.1%
38.9%
61.1%
Kelly
Handzus
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
3
(13 meetings)
10
3
Kelly
Handzus
Last 10: Kelly 8-2 Handzus
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
2
0
Kelly
Handzus
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
3
1
Kelly
Handzus
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kelly
5
2
Kelly
Handzus
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Handzus
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (3,010)
51.5% (2,438)
-0.4%
Power Play
60.6% (71)
58.0% (286)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (689)
47.3% (471)
-2.6%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Handzus shoots left. Kelly is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,408).
Kelly shoots left. Handzus is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,162).
Home / Away
Kelly
Handzus
Home
52.6% (1,965)
52.2% (1,736)
Away
47.4% (1,813)
50.6% (1,481)
By Period
Kelly
Handzus
P1
49.2%
52.5%
P2
49.1%
53.7%
P3
51.9%
48.4%
OT
53.5%
41.7%
Final 5 min
50.3%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
50.1%
Handzus
50.0%▼
51.5%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2014 | 2 | 17:05 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 22, 2012 | 3 | 15:21 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 22, 2012 | 3 | 13:19 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 22, 2012 | 3 | 09:15 | Neutral | Michal Handzus |
| Mar 22, 2012 | 3 | 03:05 | Defensive | Michal Handzus |
| Mar 22, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 22, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Oct 22, 2011 | 3 | 15:36 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Oct 22, 2011 | 3 | 14:20 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Oct 22, 2011 | 3 | 11:37 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Oct 22, 2011 | 3 | 02:43 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Oct 22, 2011 | 1 | 17:44 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Oct 22, 2011 | 1 | 01:12 | Neutral | Michal Handzus |