Scouting Report
Chris Kelly holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 51.6% vs Thompson 49.6% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kelly 67.3%
Defensive zone
Thompson 70.1%
Neutral zone
Thompson 53.7%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 56.0%
44.0%
56.0%
Kelly
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Kelly
Thompson
Last 5: Kelly 0-5 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Kelly
Thompson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
2
Kelly
Thompson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
2
Kelly
Thompson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (686)
50.2% (408)
+1.1%
Power Play
69.2% (26)
69.2% (13)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (92)
47.0% (164)
+3.0%
On penalty kill, Kelly has a +3.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Kelly is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Kelly shoots left. Thompson is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (354).
Home / Away
Kelly
Thompson
Home
52.3% (388)
49.3% (304)
Away
51.3% (421)
49.7% (288)
By Period
Kelly
Thompson
P1
50.0%
49.7%
P2
51.7%
46.9%
P3
53.0%
52.1%
OT
61.5%
20.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
51.8%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2012 | 2 | 18:24 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 13, 2012 | 1 | 18:59 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 17, 2012 | 1 | 09:52 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 3 | 19:54 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 1 | 02:58 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |