Scouting Report
Nicklas Backstrom holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Backstrom on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Kelly wins 44.2% vs left-shot opponents — Backstrom shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 49.0% vs Backstrom 50.4% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backstrom 59.2%
Defensive zone
Kelly 79.9%
Neutral zone
Kelly 64.4%
Result
Nicklas Backstrom favored at 59.2%
40.8%
59.2%
Kelly
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Kelly
Backstrom
Last 5: Kelly 0-5 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
0
5
Kelly
Backstrom
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (456)
49.0% (1,137)
+1.0%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
59.8% (194)
-19.8%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (118)
48.8% (84)
-3.9%
On power play, Backstrom has a +19.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Kelly is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (346).
Kelly shoots left. Backstrom is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (927).
Home / Away
Kelly
Backstrom
Home
51.4% (350)
52.9% (735)
Away
45.0% (229)
47.8% (680)
By Period
Kelly
Backstrom
P1
46.9%
51.1%
P2
53.6%
47.2%
P3
46.8%
52.9%
OT
0.0%
53.2%
Final 5 min
47.8%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
48.9%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2014 | 3 | 18:26 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 29, 2014 | 2 | 05:06 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 3 | 17:58 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 1, 2014 | 2 | 16:43 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 1, 2014 | 1 | 04:50 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |