Chris Kelly vs Nicklas Backstrom
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.1% vs 50.5%). Look for Backstrom on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 17 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 50.1% vs Backstrom 50.5% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Backstrom leads 25-14 in 39 meetings
Offensive zone
Backstrom 55.8%
Defensive zone
Kelly 76.0%
Neutral zone
Kelly 61.0%
Result
Chris Kelly favored at 56.0%
56.0%
44.0%
Kelly
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
25
(39 meetings)
14
25
Kelly
Backstrom
Last 10: Kelly 7-3 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
2
15
Kelly
Backstrom
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
4
2
Kelly
Backstrom
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
8
8
Kelly
Backstrom
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (3,010)
50.4% (11,581)
+0.7%
Power Play
60.6% (71)
52.3% (1,895)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (689)
47.0% (889)
-2.3%
On power play, Kelly has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Kelly is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,408).
Kelly shoots left. Backstrom is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (8,966).
Home / Away
Kelly
Backstrom
Home
52.6% (1,965)
52.6% (7,223)
Away
47.4% (1,813)
48.4% (7,173)
By Period
Kelly
Backstrom
P1
49.2%
50.1%
P2
49.1%
49.7%
P3
51.9%
51.6%
OT
53.5%
52.9%
Final 5 min
50.3%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
50.1%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2017 | 2 | 05:53 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Jan 24, 2017 | 2 | 00:33 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 24, 2017 | 1 | 19:20 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 24, 2017 | 1 | 00:05 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Jan 24, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 7, 2017 | 2 | 14:16 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 7, 2017 | 1 | 04:36 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Jan 1, 2017 | 1 | 13:13 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 2 | 16:17 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 2 | 06:34 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 29, 2014 | 3 | 18:26 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 29, 2014 | 2 | 05:06 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 3 | 17:58 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 1, 2014 | 2 | 16:43 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 1, 2014 | 1 | 04:50 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Apr 27, 2013 | OT | 01:50 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 3 | 12:15 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 2 | 14:02 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 2 | 16:06 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |