Chris Kelly vs Patrice Bergeron
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kelly on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Kelly wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 50.1% vs Bergeron 59.2% (-9.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kelly 68.4%
Defensive zone
Kelly 83.5%
Neutral zone
Kelly 79.5%
Result
Chris Kelly favored at 73.1%
73.1%
26.9%
Kelly
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Kelly
Bergeron
Last 8: Kelly 3-5 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
3
2
Kelly
Bergeron
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
1
Kelly
Bergeron
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
2
Kelly
Bergeron
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (3,010)
60.1% (13,938)
-9.0%
Power Play
60.6% (71)
60.8% (3,213)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (689)
53.0% (2,776)
-8.3%
On even strength, Bergeron has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Kelly is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,370).
Kelly shoots left. Bergeron is 60.5% vs left-shot opponents (13,273).
Home / Away
Kelly
Bergeron
Home
52.6% (1,965)
61.2% (10,028)
Away
47.4% (1,813)
57.3% (9,930)
By Period
Kelly
Bergeron
P1
49.2%
59.3%
P2
49.1%
60.0%
P3
51.9%
58.6%
OT
53.5%
57.9%
Final 5 min
50.3%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
50.1%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
59.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2011 | 2 | 19:12 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 11, 2011 | 2 | 03:23 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 13, 2010 | 3 | 19:17 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 13, 2010 | 3 | 16:36 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 13, 2010 | 3 | 14:24 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 13, 2010 | 2 | 14:01 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 13, 2010 | 1 | 15:59 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 30, 2010 | 2 | 15:06 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |