Scouting Report
Chris Kelly holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Kelly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 50.8% vs Berglund 46.6% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Berglund 60.2%
Defensive zone
Kelly 80.4%
Neutral zone
Kelly 67.3%
Result
Chris Kelly favored at 69.0%
69.0%
31.0%
Kelly
Berglund
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Kelly
Berglund
Last 7: Kelly 5-2 Berglund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Berglund
0
1
Kelly
Berglund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
3
0
Kelly
Berglund
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kelly
2
1
Kelly
Berglund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Berglund
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (723)
47.3% (792)
+4.6%
Power Play
54.2% (24)
42.5% (134)
+11.7%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (166)
42.4% (33)
+4.0%
On power play, Kelly has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Berglund shoots left. Kelly is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (605).
Kelly shoots left. Berglund is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (660).
Home / Away
Kelly
Berglund
Home
53.8% (442)
46.8% (477)
Away
48.1% (474)
45.7% (497)
By Period
Kelly
Berglund
P1
50.2%
47.1%
P2
47.6%
46.3%
P3
54.5%
45.4%
OT
85.7%
37.5%
Final 5 min
52.8%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
50.9%
Berglund
60.0%▲
57.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2010 | 3 | 15:41 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 19, 2010 | 3 | 07:49 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Nov 19, 2010 | 3 | 05:15 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 19, 2010 | 2 | 07:57 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Nov 19, 2010 | 1 | 16:04 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 19, 2010 | 1 | 09:18 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 19, 2010 | 1 | 03:43 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |