Scouting Report
Chris Kelly holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Berglund on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 50.1% vs Berglund 48.7% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Berglund leads 11-10 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Berglund 61.3%
Defensive zone
Kelly 60.2%
Neutral zone
Kelly 51.4%
Result
Chris Kelly favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
Kelly
Berglund
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
11
(21 meetings)
10
11
Kelly
Berglund
Last 10: Kelly 4-6 Berglund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Berglund
1
3
Kelly
Berglund
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
5
4
Kelly
Berglund
9 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Kelly
Berglund
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Berglund
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (3,010)
49.0% (4,697)
+2.1%
Power Play
60.6% (71)
51.3% (548)
+9.3%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (689)
43.2% (461)
+1.5%
On power play, Kelly has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Berglund shoots left. Kelly is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,408).
Kelly shoots left. Berglund is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,687).
Home / Away
Kelly
Berglund
Home
52.6% (1,965)
50.9% (2,829)
Away
47.4% (1,813)
46.6% (2,904)
By Period
Kelly
Berglund
P1
49.2%
49.3%
P2
49.1%
48.2%
P3
51.9%
49.0%
OT
53.5%
39.7%
Final 5 min
50.3%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
50.1%
Berglund
60.0%▲
57.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2017 | 3 | 19:32 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Jan 17, 2017 | 3 | 14:29 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Jan 17, 2017 | 3 | 09:19 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 2 | 06:54 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 2 | 06:48 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Feb 6, 2014 | OT | 03:01 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Feb 6, 2014 | 2 | 19:09 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Feb 22, 2012 | 3 | 05:19 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 22, 2012 | 3 | 00:18 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 22, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 22, 2012 | 2 | 03:38 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Feb 22, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Feb 22, 2012 | 1 | 00:26 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Nov 19, 2010 | 3 | 15:41 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 19, 2010 | 3 | 07:49 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Nov 19, 2010 | 3 | 05:15 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 19, 2010 | 2 | 07:57 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Nov 19, 2010 | 1 | 16:04 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 19, 2010 | 1 | 09:18 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |