Scouting Report
Chris Kelly holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 50.8% vs Byron 46.2% (+10.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Byron 71.8%
Defensive zone
Kelly 59.0%
Neutral zone
Kelly 50.6%
Result
Paul Byron favored at 56.7%
43.3%
56.7%
Kelly
Byron
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Kelly
Byron
Last 5: Kelly 2-3 Byron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kelly
Byron
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Byron
0
1
Kelly
Byron
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kelly
Byron
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Byron
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (723)
41.4% (70)
+10.5%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (166)
0.0% (1)
+46.4%
On penalty kill, Kelly has a +46.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Byron shoots left. Kelly is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (605).
Kelly shoots left. Byron is 37.0% vs left-shot opponents (46).
Home / Away
Kelly
Byron
Home
53.8% (442)
43.8% (16)
Away
48.1% (474)
40.0% (55)
By Period
Kelly
Byron
P1
50.2%
27.3%
P2
47.6%
51.7%
P3
54.5%
42.1%
OT
85.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
28.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
50.9%
Byron
54.0%▲
41.0%
40.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2011 | 3 | 13:56 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 25, 2011 | 3 | 03:40 | Offensive | Paul Byron |
| Jan 25, 2011 | 3 | 03:25 | Neutral | Paul Byron |
| Jan 25, 2011 | 2 | 17:01 | Defensive | Paul Byron |
| Jan 25, 2011 | 1 | 15:19 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |