Scouting Report
Chris Kelly holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 50.1% vs Byron 40.6% (+11.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Byron 66.2%
Defensive zone
Kelly 64.8%
Neutral zone
Kelly 50.0%
Result
Paul Byron favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Kelly
Byron
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Kelly
Byron
Last 5: Kelly 2-3 Byron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kelly
Byron
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Byron
0
1
Kelly
Byron
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kelly
Byron
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Byron
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (3,010)
40.6% (399)
+10.5%
Power Play
60.6% (71)
55.0% (20)
+5.6%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (689)
26.2% (84)
+18.5%
On penalty kill, Kelly has a +18.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Byron shoots left. Kelly is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,408).
Kelly shoots left. Byron is 38.1% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Home / Away
Kelly
Byron
Home
52.6% (1,965)
41.7% (235)
Away
47.4% (1,813)
36.2% (268)
By Period
Kelly
Byron
P1
49.2%
31.9%
P2
49.1%
46.5%
P3
51.9%
35.3%
OT
53.5%
80.0%
Final 5 min
50.3%
37.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
50.1%
Byron
54.0%▲
41.0%
38.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2011 | 3 | 13:56 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 25, 2011 | 3 | 03:40 | Offensive | Paul Byron |
| Jan 25, 2011 | 3 | 03:25 | Neutral | Paul Byron |
| Jan 25, 2011 | 2 | 17:01 | Defensive | Paul Byron |
| Jan 25, 2011 | 1 | 15:19 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |