Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (44.5% vs 45.4%). Kelly wins 41.5% vs left-shot opponents — Holland shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 45.4% vs Holland 46.2% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Holland 61.9%
Defensive zone
Kelly 56.1%
Neutral zone
Holland 52.4%
Result
Peter Holland favored at 54.5%
45.5%
54.5%
Kelly
Holland
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Kelly
Holland
Last 5: Kelly 3-2 Holland
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kelly
Holland
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
1
0
Kelly
Holland
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kelly
Holland
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Holland
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (373)
45.0% (462)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
35.9% (128)
33.3% (6)
+2.6%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Holland shoots left. Kelly is 41.5% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Kelly shoots left. Holland is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (312).
Home / Away
Kelly
Holland
Home
47.5% (259)
50.8% (240)
Away
41.3% (242)
40.5% (262)
By Period
Kelly
Holland
P1
46.7%
44.9%
P2
42.9%
46.0%
P3
43.4%
45.7%
Final 5 min
42.2%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
44.5%
Holland
38.0%▼
48.0%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2017 | 2 | 16:42 | Offensive | Peter Holland |
| Mar 9, 2017 | 2 | 03:23 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Oct 12, 2016 | 3 | 13:56 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Oct 12, 2016 | 1 | 12:49 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Oct 12, 2016 | 1 | 08:21 | Neutral | Peter Holland |