Scouting Report
Chris Kelly holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Kelly on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 50.1% vs Holland 45.9% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kelly 56.3%
Defensive zone
Kelly 68.4%
Neutral zone
Kelly 58.6%
Result
Chris Kelly favored at 59.5%
59.5%
40.5%
Kelly
Holland
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Kelly
Holland
Last 9: Kelly 5-4 Holland
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
3
2
Kelly
Holland
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kelly
Holland
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kelly
Holland
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Holland
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (3,010)
45.6% (2,232)
+5.5%
Power Play
60.6% (71)
52.4% (126)
+8.2%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (689)
42.3% (137)
+2.4%
On power play, Kelly has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Holland shoots left. Kelly is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,408).
Kelly shoots left. Holland is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,605).
Home / Away
Kelly
Holland
Home
52.6% (1,965)
48.6% (1,288)
Away
47.4% (1,813)
42.7% (1,207)
By Period
Kelly
Holland
P1
49.2%
46.1%
P2
49.1%
47.3%
P3
51.9%
43.9%
OT
53.5%
39.1%
Final 5 min
50.3%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
50.1%
Holland
38.0%▼
48.0%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2017 | 2 | 16:42 | Offensive | Peter Holland |
| Mar 9, 2017 | 2 | 03:23 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Oct 12, 2016 | 3 | 13:56 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Oct 12, 2016 | 1 | 12:49 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Oct 12, 2016 | 1 | 08:21 | Neutral | Peter Holland |
| Dec 31, 2014 | 2 | 07:01 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 12, 2014 | 3 | 04:55 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 12, 2014 | 1 | 18:10 | Defensive | Peter Holland |
| Oct 25, 2014 | 3 | 07:10 | Offensive | Peter Holland |