Chris Kelly vs Petteri Nokelainen
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Petteri Nokelainen holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Kelly on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kelly wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Nokelainen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 50.1% vs Nokelainen 52.6% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nokelainen 68.7%
Defensive zone
Nokelainen 58.3%
Neutral zone
Nokelainen 51.2%
Result
Petteri Nokelainen favored at 61.1%
38.9%
61.1%
Kelly
Nokelainen
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Kelly
Nokelainen
Last 6: Kelly 4-2 Nokelainen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
3
0
Kelly
Nokelainen
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nokelainen
0
1
Kelly
Nokelainen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kelly
Nokelainen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Nokelainen
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (3,010)
53.7% (257)
-2.6%
Power Play
60.6% (71)
50.0% (8)
+10.6%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (689)
53.8% (39)
-9.1%
On power play, Kelly has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nokelainen shoots right. Kelly is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,370).
Kelly shoots left. Nokelainen is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (170).
Home / Away
Kelly
Nokelainen
Home
52.6% (1,965)
53.1% (143)
Away
47.4% (1,813)
53.6% (166)
By Period
Kelly
Nokelainen
P1
49.2%
47.8%
P2
49.1%
56.6%
P3
51.9%
57.3%
OT
53.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.3%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
50.1%
Nokelainen
50.0%▼
54.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2011 | 3 | 12:45 | Defensive | Petteri Nokelainen |
| Dec 19, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 2 | 08:06 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 2 | 07:45 | Neutral | Petteri Nokelainen |
| Oct 27, 2011 | 3 | 18:38 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Oct 27, 2011 | 2 | 13:31 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |