Scouting Report
Chris Kelly holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Nash on offensive-zone draws (55% H2H, 11 meetings). Kelly wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 50.1% vs Nash 48.5% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Nash leads 14-12 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Nash 58.0%
Defensive zone
Kelly 55.4%
Neutral zone
Nash 50.9%
Result
Riley Nash favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
Kelly
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
14
(26 meetings)
12
14
Kelly
Nash
Last 10: Kelly 5-5 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nash
5
6
Kelly
Nash
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nash
3
4
Kelly
Nash
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Kelly
Nash
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (3,010)
48.7% (4,621)
+2.4%
Power Play
60.6% (71)
51.0% (249)
+9.6%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (689)
44.9% (550)
-0.2%
On power play, Kelly has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Kelly is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,370).
Kelly shoots left. Nash is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,747).
Home / Away
Kelly
Nash
Home
52.6% (1,965)
50.2% (2,740)
Away
47.4% (1,813)
46.7% (2,681)
By Period
Kelly
Nash
P1
49.2%
49.0%
P2
49.1%
47.9%
P3
51.9%
48.0%
OT
53.5%
68.4%
Final 5 min
50.3%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
50.1%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2017 | 1 | 02:22 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 1 | 02:16 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 3 | 08:44 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 1 | 03:08 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Mar 6, 2017 | 1 | 07:27 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 24, 2016 | 1 | 09:15 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 2 | 07:54 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 2 | 04:13 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 2 | 01:49 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 1 | 14:47 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 1 | 04:35 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Mar 15, 2014 | 1 | 16:00 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 18, 2013 | 3 | 06:40 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Nov 18, 2013 | 2 | 11:23 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Nov 18, 2013 | 1 | 07:44 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Apr 13, 2013 | 2 | 06:17 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Apr 13, 2013 | 1 | 12:57 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Apr 8, 2013 | 3 | 19:36 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Apr 8, 2013 | 3 | 10:33 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Apr 8, 2013 | 3 | 01:59 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |