Scouting Report
Chris Kelly holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Gomez on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 51.6% vs Gomez 49.7% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Gomez leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Gomez 68.0%
Defensive zone
Kelly 62.0%
Neutral zone
Gomez 57.3%
Result
Scott Gomez favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Kelly
Gomez
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Kelly
Gomez
Last 10: Kelly 4-6 Gomez
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gomez
0
5
Kelly
Gomez
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
3
2
Kelly
Gomez
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kelly
Gomez
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Gomez
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (686)
50.4% (270)
+0.9%
Power Play
69.2% (26)
50.0% (50)
+19.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (92)
25.0% (4)
+25.0%
On penalty kill, Kelly has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gomez shoots left. Kelly is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Kelly shoots left. Gomez is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Home / Away
Kelly
Gomez
Home
52.3% (388)
48.3% (178)
Away
51.3% (421)
51.0% (155)
By Period
Kelly
Gomez
P1
50.0%
52.3%
P2
51.7%
47.0%
P3
53.0%
50.0%
OT
61.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
51.8%
Gomez
52.0%▲
46.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2012 | 2 | 08:20 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 15, 2012 | 2 | 05:17 | Defensive | Scott Gomez |
| Feb 15, 2012 | 2 | 05:07 | Neutral | Scott Gomez |
| Feb 15, 2012 | 1 | 04:38 | Defensive | Scott Gomez |
| Feb 15, 2012 | 1 | 01:50 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 15, 2012 | 1 | 01:34 | Offensive | Scott Gomez |
| Nov 21, 2011 | 3 | 00:51 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 21, 2011 | 2 | 18:57 | Offensive | Scott Gomez |
| Nov 21, 2011 | 2 | 18:47 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 21, 2011 | 2 | 13:57 | Offensive | Scott Gomez |
| Nov 21, 2011 | 1 | 19:28 | Offensive | Scott Gomez |
| Nov 21, 2011 | 1 | 15:16 | Offensive | Scott Gomez |