Scouting Report
Chris Kelly holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Gomez on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 18 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 50.1% vs Gomez 48.2% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Kelly leads 23-20 in 43 meetings
Offensive zone
Gomez 69.7%
Defensive zone
Kelly 73.8%
Neutral zone
Kelly 55.7%
Result
Scott Gomez favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Kelly
Gomez
Head-to-Head Record
23
-
20
(43 meetings)
23
20
Kelly
Gomez
Last 10: Kelly 7-3 Gomez
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gomez
6
12
Kelly
Gomez
18 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
8
3
Kelly
Gomez
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kelly
9
5
Kelly
Gomez
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Gomez
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (3,010)
47.9% (2,814)
+3.2%
Power Play
60.6% (71)
50.6% (516)
+10.0%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (689)
36.5% (74)
+8.2%
On power play, Kelly has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gomez shoots left. Kelly is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,408).
Kelly shoots left. Gomez is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,196).
Home / Away
Kelly
Gomez
Home
52.6% (1,965)
49.8% (1,767)
Away
47.4% (1,813)
46.3% (1,667)
By Period
Kelly
Gomez
P1
49.2%
48.6%
P2
49.1%
48.2%
P3
51.9%
47.5%
OT
53.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.3%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
50.1%
Gomez
52.0%▲
46.5%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2015 | 3 | 01:40 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 27, 2015 | 2 | 01:23 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 27, 2015 | 1 | 09:10 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 27, 2015 | 1 | 05:07 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 28, 2014 | 1 | 15:26 | Neutral | Scott Gomez |
| Nov 7, 2013 | 3 | 19:22 | Neutral | Scott Gomez |
| Nov 7, 2013 | 3 | 19:12 | Defensive | Scott Gomez |
| Nov 7, 2013 | 3 | 08:17 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 7, 2013 | 3 | 01:50 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 7, 2013 | 2 | 08:42 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 7, 2013 | 1 | 05:20 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Oct 17, 2013 | 2 | 17:10 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Oct 17, 2013 | 2 | 11:42 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Oct 17, 2013 | 2 | 09:36 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Oct 17, 2013 | 1 | 09:28 | Neutral | Scott Gomez |
| Feb 15, 2012 | 2 | 08:20 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 15, 2012 | 2 | 05:17 | Defensive | Scott Gomez |
| Feb 15, 2012 | 2 | 05:07 | Neutral | Scott Gomez |
| Feb 15, 2012 | 1 | 04:38 | Defensive | Scott Gomez |
| Feb 15, 2012 | 1 | 01:50 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |