Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (95% H2H, 21 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 50.1% vs Crosby 53.5% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 27-15 in 42 meetings
Offensive zone
Kelly 57.5%
Defensive zone
Kelly 92.2%
Neutral zone
Kelly 78.4%
Result
Chris Kelly favored at 71.9%
71.9%
28.1%
Kelly
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
27
(42 meetings)
15
27
Kelly
Crosby
Last 10: Kelly 1-9 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
20
Kelly
Crosby
21 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
9
3
Kelly
Crosby
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kelly
5
4
Kelly
Crosby
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (3,010)
52.8% (17,990)
-1.7%
Power Play
60.6% (71)
57.4% (4,733)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (689)
47.1% (765)
-2.4%
On power play, Kelly has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Kelly is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,408).
Kelly shoots left. Crosby is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (14,851).
Home / Away
Kelly
Crosby
Home
52.6% (1,965)
55.0% (11,972)
Away
47.4% (1,813)
52.0% (11,535)
By Period
Kelly
Crosby
P1
49.2%
53.6%
P2
49.1%
53.9%
P3
51.9%
53.3%
OT
53.5%
49.6%
Final 5 min
50.3%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
50.1%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2017 | 2 | 16:02 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 12, 2017 | 2 | 06:43 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 12, 2017 | 1 | 06:19 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Dec 5, 2016 | 2 | 12:21 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 5, 2016 | 2 | 09:58 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 5, 2016 | 1 | 12:36 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 5, 2016 | 1 | 10:49 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 7, 2015 | 2 | 06:16 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 7, 2015 | 1 | 18:57 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 7, 2013 | 3 | 09:10 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 7, 2013 | 2 | 11:22 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 7, 2013 | 1 | 06:17 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 7, 2013 | 1 | 00:31 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 7, 2013 | 1 | 00:21 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 25, 2013 | 3 | 11:09 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 25, 2013 | 3 | 05:17 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 25, 2013 | 2 | 01:37 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 25, 2013 | 1 | 16:58 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 25, 2013 | 1 | 15:02 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 25, 2013 | 1 | 04:55 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |