Scouting Report
Chris Kelly holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kelly on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Kelly wins 61.7% vs right-shot opponents — Brent shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 56.2% vs Brent 51.2% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brent 65.7%
Defensive zone
Kelly 69.4%
Neutral zone
Kelly 60.3%
Result
Chris Kelly favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Kelly
Brent
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Kelly
Brent
Last 7: Kelly 4-3 Brent
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kelly
Brent
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brent
0
1
Kelly
Brent
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kelly
3
1
Kelly
Brent
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Brent
Edge
Even Strength
58.7% (298)
48.5% (200)
+10.2%
Power Play
100.0% (8)
75.0% (16)
+25.0%
Penalty Kill
49.3% (67)
62.5% (24)
-13.2%
On power play, Kelly has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brent shoots right. Kelly is 61.7% vs right-shot opponents (141).
Kelly shoots left. Brent is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (141).
Home / Away
Kelly
Brent
Home
60.0% (200)
58.6% (116)
Away
55.5% (173)
45.2% (124)
By Period
Kelly
Brent
P1
55.9%
52.3%
P2
58.4%
42.5%
P3
60.9%
59.5%
Final 5 min
60.0%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
57.9%
Brent
62.0%▲
51.5%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2013 | 3 | 16:56 | Neutral | Tim Brent |
| Apr 8, 2013 | 3 | 07:58 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Apr 8, 2013 | 2 | 01:23 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Apr 8, 2013 | 1 | 12:08 | Defensive | Tim Brent |
| Apr 8, 2013 | 1 | 11:46 | Offensive | Tim Brent |
| Apr 8, 2013 | 1 | 07:58 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 28, 2013 | 2 | 08:04 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |