Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.1% vs 50.8%). Look for Kelly on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings). Kelly wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Brent shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 50.1% vs Brent 50.7% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Kelly leads 13-11 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Brent 59.8%
Defensive zone
Brent 50.1%
Neutral zone
Brent 51.2%
Result
Tim Brent favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
Kelly
Brent
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
11
(24 meetings)
13
11
Kelly
Brent
Last 10: Kelly 6-4 Brent
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
6
3
Kelly
Brent
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brent
0
3
Kelly
Brent
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kelly
7
5
Kelly
Brent
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Brent
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (3,010)
50.2% (1,234)
+0.9%
Power Play
60.6% (71)
58.2% (91)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (689)
51.7% (267)
-7.0%
On penalty kill, Brent has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brent shoots right. Kelly is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,370).
Kelly shoots left. Brent is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,058).
Home / Away
Kelly
Brent
Home
52.6% (1,965)
51.6% (779)
Away
47.4% (1,813)
50.0% (820)
By Period
Kelly
Brent
P1
49.2%
54.2%
P2
49.1%
49.3%
P3
51.9%
48.8%
OT
53.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.3%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
50.1%
Brent
62.0%▲
51.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2013 | 3 | 16:56 | Neutral | Tim Brent |
| Apr 8, 2013 | 3 | 07:58 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Apr 8, 2013 | 2 | 01:23 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Apr 8, 2013 | 1 | 12:08 | Defensive | Tim Brent |
| Apr 8, 2013 | 1 | 11:46 | Offensive | Tim Brent |
| Apr 8, 2013 | 1 | 07:58 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 28, 2013 | 2 | 08:04 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 14, 2012 | 3 | 04:51 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Oct 18, 2011 | 2 | 19:30 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 31, 2011 | 1 | 05:06 | Defensive | Tim Brent |
| Mar 19, 2011 | 3 | 19:40 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 19, 2011 | 2 | 19:41 | Neutral | Tim Brent |
| Mar 19, 2011 | 2 | 15:29 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 19, 2011 | 2 | 11:20 | Neutral | Tim Brent |
| Mar 19, 2011 | 2 | 02:24 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 1, 2011 | 2 | 04:56 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 1, 2011 | 1 | 16:22 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 1, 2011 | 1 | 13:48 | Neutral | Tim Brent |
| Nov 27, 2010 | 1 | 07:26 | Offensive | Tim Brent |
| Nov 27, 2010 | 1 | 04:15 | Offensive | Tim Brent |