Scouting Report
Chris Kelly holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 51.6% vs Pyatt 46.7% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kelly 51.5%
Defensive zone
Pyatt 60.9%
Neutral zone
Pyatt 58.1%
Result
Tom Pyatt favored at 54.8%
45.2%
54.8%
Kelly
Pyatt
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Kelly
Pyatt
Last 5: Kelly 2-3 Pyatt
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kelly
Pyatt
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pyatt
0
1
Kelly
Pyatt
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kelly
Pyatt
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Pyatt
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (686)
46.8% (231)
+4.5%
Power Play
69.2% (26)
41.7% (12)
+27.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (92)
35.3% (34)
+14.7%
On power play, Kelly has a +27.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pyatt shoots left. Kelly is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Kelly shoots left. Pyatt is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (181).
Home / Away
Kelly
Pyatt
Home
52.3% (388)
44.0% (175)
Away
51.3% (421)
48.1% (106)
By Period
Kelly
Pyatt
P1
50.0%
41.4%
P2
51.7%
47.1%
P3
53.0%
48.0%
OT
61.5%
66.7%
Final 5 min
50.0%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
51.8%
Pyatt
34.0%▼
36.5%
45.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2012 | 2 | 10:13 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 13, 2012 | 3 | 02:41 | Defensive | Tom Pyatt |
| Mar 13, 2012 | 1 | 15:38 | Neutral | Tom Pyatt |
| Mar 13, 2012 | 1 | 14:56 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 13, 2012 | 1 | 06:19 | Offensive | Tom Pyatt |