Scouting Report
Chris Kelly holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Pyatt on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 50.1% vs Pyatt 46.9% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pyatt 52.7%
Defensive zone
Kelly 51.3%
Neutral zone
Pyatt 55.4%
Result
Tom Pyatt favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Kelly
Pyatt
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Kelly
Pyatt
Last 7: Kelly 3-4 Pyatt
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pyatt
1
2
Kelly
Pyatt
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kelly
Pyatt
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kelly
Pyatt
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Pyatt
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (3,010)
47.2% (922)
+3.9%
Power Play
60.6% (71)
55.0% (20)
+5.6%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (689)
42.0% (174)
+2.7%
On power play, Kelly has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pyatt shoots left. Kelly is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,408).
Kelly shoots left. Pyatt is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (706).
Home / Away
Kelly
Pyatt
Home
52.6% (1,965)
48.0% (598)
Away
47.4% (1,813)
45.0% (524)
By Period
Kelly
Pyatt
P1
49.2%
47.1%
P2
49.1%
47.6%
P3
51.9%
45.2%
OT
53.5%
41.7%
Final 5 min
50.3%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
50.1%
Pyatt
34.0%▼
36.5%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2013 | 3 | 03:16 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 27, 2012 | 2 | 10:13 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 13, 2012 | 3 | 02:41 | Defensive | Tom Pyatt |
| Mar 13, 2012 | 1 | 15:38 | Neutral | Tom Pyatt |
| Mar 13, 2012 | 1 | 14:56 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 13, 2012 | 1 | 06:19 | Offensive | Tom Pyatt |
| Dec 7, 2010 | 3 | 08:52 | Offensive | Tom Pyatt |