Scouting Report
Travis Zajac holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Kelly on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 50.8% vs Zajac 54.9% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zajac 84.1%
Defensive zone
Zajac 59.1%
Neutral zone
Zajac 69.7%
Result
Travis Zajac favored at 69.8%
30.2%
69.8%
Kelly
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Kelly
Zajac
Last 8: Kelly 5-3 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
1
2
Kelly
Zajac
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
3
1
Kelly
Zajac
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kelly
1
0
Kelly
Zajac
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (723)
53.9% (958)
-2.0%
Power Play
54.2% (24)
67.1% (146)
-12.9%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (166)
52.5% (139)
-6.1%
On power play, Zajac has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Kelly is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (311).
Kelly shoots left. Zajac is 57.3% vs left-shot opponents (888).
Home / Away
Kelly
Zajac
Home
53.8% (442)
55.5% (627)
Away
48.1% (474)
55.1% (651)
By Period
Kelly
Zajac
P1
50.2%
51.7%
P2
47.6%
58.5%
P3
54.5%
56.0%
OT
85.7%
55.6%
Final 5 min
52.8%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
50.9%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2011 | 1 | 17:01 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 22, 2011 | 2 | 18:08 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 1, 2011 | 2 | 00:35 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 1, 2011 | 1 | 10:06 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Feb 1, 2011 | 1 | 03:26 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Dec 10, 2010 | 3 | 15:16 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 10, 2010 | 2 | 13:18 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 10, 2010 | 2 | 07:43 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |