Scouting Report
Travis Zajac holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Zajac on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 15 meetings). Kelly wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Zajac shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 50.1% vs Zajac 54.2% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Kelly leads 19-18 in 37 meetings
Offensive zone
Zajac 61.6%
Defensive zone
Zajac 50.9%
Neutral zone
Zajac 55.9%
Result
Travis Zajac favored at 56.6%
43.4%
56.6%
Kelly
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
18
(37 meetings)
19
18
Kelly
Zajac
Last 10: Kelly 4-6 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
3
12
Kelly
Zajac
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
10
2
Kelly
Zajac
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kelly
6
4
Kelly
Zajac
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (3,010)
54.4% (9,056)
-3.3%
Power Play
60.6% (71)
59.1% (1,498)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (689)
48.6% (1,599)
-3.9%
On penalty kill, Zajac has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Kelly is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,370).
Kelly shoots left. Zajac is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,183).
Home / Away
Kelly
Zajac
Home
52.6% (1,965)
55.5% (6,156)
Away
47.4% (1,813)
53.0% (6,038)
By Period
Kelly
Zajac
P1
49.2%
53.8%
P2
49.1%
55.6%
P3
51.9%
53.6%
OT
53.5%
52.3%
Final 5 min
50.3%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
50.1%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2017 | 1 | 17:46 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 2 | 04:35 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 27, 2015 | 3 | 09:51 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Feb 27, 2015 | 3 | 01:53 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 8, 2015 | 2 | 04:12 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 18, 2014 | 3 | 19:50 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 18, 2014 | 2 | 00:29 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Oct 26, 2013 | 3 | 18:11 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Oct 26, 2013 | 3 | 16:45 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Oct 26, 2013 | 3 | 15:18 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Oct 26, 2013 | 2 | 18:22 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Oct 26, 2013 | 2 | 15:09 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Oct 26, 2013 | 2 | 12:24 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Oct 26, 2013 | 1 | 19:04 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Oct 26, 2013 | 1 | 09:04 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Apr 10, 2013 | 3 | 19:23 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Apr 10, 2013 | 3 | 17:09 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Apr 10, 2013 | 3 | 16:21 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Apr 10, 2013 | 3 | 15:13 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Apr 10, 2013 | 1 | 14:20 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |