Chris Kelly vs Vincent Lecavalier
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.1% vs 50.0%). Look for Lecavalier on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 50.1% vs Lecavalier 50.0% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Lecavalier leads 16-8 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Lecavalier 65.8%
Defensive zone
Kelly 74.1%
Neutral zone
Kelly 61.1%
Result
Chris Kelly favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
Kelly
Lecavalier
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
16
(24 meetings)
8
16
Kelly
Lecavalier
Last 10: Kelly 5-5 Lecavalier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lecavalier
4
7
Kelly
Lecavalier
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lecavalier
3
4
Kelly
Lecavalier
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lecavalier
1
5
Kelly
Lecavalier
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Lecavalier
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (3,010)
49.1% (3,304)
+2.0%
Power Play
60.6% (71)
53.4% (858)
+7.2%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (689)
51.5% (101)
-6.8%
On power play, Kelly has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lecavalier shoots left. Kelly is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,408).
Kelly shoots left. Lecavalier is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (2,762).
Home / Away
Kelly
Lecavalier
Home
52.6% (1,965)
51.9% (2,244)
Away
47.4% (1,813)
47.8% (2,045)
By Period
Kelly
Lecavalier
P1
49.2%
51.0%
P2
49.1%
50.8%
P3
51.9%
48.0%
OT
53.5%
56.1%
Final 5 min
50.3%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
50.1%
Lecavalier
52.0%▲
46.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2014 | 3 | 04:48 | Offensive | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Oct 8, 2014 | 2 | 02:13 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Apr 25, 2013 | 3 | 19:19 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Apr 25, 2013 | 2 | 11:07 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Apr 25, 2013 | 1 | 04:39 | Neutral | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Mar 2, 2013 | 3 | 17:44 | Neutral | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Feb 21, 2013 | 3 | 19:42 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 21, 2013 | 3 | 10:21 | Offensive | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Feb 21, 2013 | 1 | 17:13 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 17, 2012 | 3 | 15:03 | Offensive | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Jan 17, 2012 | 2 | 19:23 | Offensive | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Jan 17, 2012 | 1 | 19:01 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 17, 2012 | 1 | 15:04 | Neutral | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 1 | 09:13 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 8, 2011 | 3 | 18:47 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 8, 2011 | 3 | 03:34 | Neutral | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Jan 8, 2011 | 3 | 02:02 | Defensive | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Jan 8, 2011 | 2 | 06:28 | Offensive | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Jan 8, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Jan 8, 2011 | 1 | 17:11 | Defensive | Vincent Lecavalier |