Scouting Report
Zenon Konopka holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Kelly on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 50.8% vs Konopka 57.0% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Kelly leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Konopka 78.8%
Defensive zone
Konopka 94.3%
Neutral zone
Konopka 83.9%
Result
Zenon Konopka favored at 83.0%
17.0%
83.0%
Kelly
Konopka
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Kelly
Konopka
Last 10: Kelly 7-3 Konopka
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
5
1
Kelly
Konopka
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kelly
Konopka
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kelly
2
1
Kelly
Konopka
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Konopka
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (723)
59.0% (754)
-7.1%
Power Play
54.2% (24)
64.3% (56)
-10.1%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (166)
52.3% (258)
-5.9%
On power play, Konopka has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Konopka shoots left. Kelly is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (605).
Kelly shoots left. Konopka is 59.1% vs left-shot opponents (687).
Home / Away
Kelly
Konopka
Home
53.8% (442)
57.3% (513)
Away
48.1% (474)
58.0% (562)
By Period
Kelly
Konopka
P1
50.2%
61.5%
P2
47.6%
54.9%
P3
54.5%
57.4%
OT
85.7%
40.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
63.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
50.9%
Konopka
60.0%▲
54.5%
57.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2011 | 2 | 06:45 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 11, 2011 | 2 | 06:29 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 11, 2011 | 2 | 02:41 | Offensive | Zenon Konopka |
| Mar 11, 2011 | 1 | 13:13 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 15, 2011 | 1 | 09:58 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 13, 2011 | 3 | 14:18 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 13, 2011 | 3 | 14:10 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 13, 2011 | 3 | 06:08 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 13, 2011 | 1 | 13:33 | Defensive | Zenon Konopka |
| Jan 13, 2011 | 1 | 09:50 | Neutral | Zenon Konopka |
| Nov 4, 2010 | 2 | 15:59 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |