Scouting Report
Zenon Konopka holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Kelly on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 50.1% vs Konopka 58.6% (-8.9%)
H2H factor
Kelly leads 10-6 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Konopka 67.2%
Defensive zone
Konopka 94.9%
Neutral zone
Konopka 83.9%
Result
Zenon Konopka favored at 80.0%
20.0%
80.0%
Kelly
Konopka
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
6
(16 meetings)
10
6
Kelly
Konopka
Last 10: Kelly 6-4 Konopka
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
5
2
Kelly
Konopka
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
3
2
Kelly
Konopka
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Kelly
Konopka
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Konopka
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (3,010)
60.6% (1,691)
-9.5%
Power Play
60.6% (71)
61.3% (80)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (689)
53.3% (523)
-8.6%
On even strength, Konopka has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Konopka shoots left. Kelly is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,408).
Kelly shoots left. Konopka is 59.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,480).
Home / Away
Kelly
Konopka
Home
52.6% (1,965)
60.9% (1,059)
Away
47.4% (1,813)
57.4% (1,244)
By Period
Kelly
Konopka
P1
49.2%
58.7%
P2
49.1%
59.1%
P3
51.9%
59.7%
OT
53.5%
37.5%
Final 5 min
50.3%
62.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
50.1%
Konopka
60.0%▲
54.5%
59.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2012 | 3 | 15:38 | Defensive | Zenon Konopka |
| Jan 31, 2012 | 3 | 03:55 | Offensive | Zenon Konopka |
| Jan 31, 2012 | 2 | 02:18 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 31, 2012 | 1 | 02:02 | Neutral | Zenon Konopka |
| Dec 14, 2011 | 2 | 05:31 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 11, 2011 | 2 | 06:45 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 11, 2011 | 2 | 06:29 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 11, 2011 | 2 | 02:41 | Offensive | Zenon Konopka |
| Mar 11, 2011 | 1 | 13:13 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 15, 2011 | 1 | 09:58 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 13, 2011 | 3 | 14:18 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 13, 2011 | 3 | 14:10 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 13, 2011 | 3 | 06:08 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 13, 2011 | 1 | 13:33 | Defensive | Zenon Konopka |
| Jan 13, 2011 | 1 | 09:50 | Neutral | Zenon Konopka |
| Nov 4, 2010 | 2 | 15:59 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |