Scouting Report
Zenon Konopka holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kelly on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 51.6% vs Konopka 57.1% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kelly 69.2%
Defensive zone
Kelly 53.7%
Neutral zone
Kelly 59.4%
Result
Chris Kelly favored at 57.9%
57.9%
42.1%
Kelly
Konopka
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Kelly
Konopka
Last 5: Kelly 2-3 Konopka
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Konopka
0
1
Kelly
Konopka
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
2
1
Kelly
Konopka
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Konopka
0
1
Kelly
Konopka
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Konopka
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (686)
62.0% (271)
-10.7%
Power Play
69.2% (26)
50.0% (14)
+19.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (92)
51.4% (107)
-1.4%
On power play, Kelly has a +19.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Konopka shoots left. Kelly is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Kelly shoots left. Konopka is 58.4% vs left-shot opponents (238).
Home / Away
Kelly
Konopka
Home
52.3% (388)
63.2% (155)
Away
51.3% (421)
56.1% (239)
By Period
Kelly
Konopka
P1
50.0%
59.3%
P2
51.7%
59.8%
P3
53.0%
58.9%
OT
61.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
60.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
51.8%
Konopka
60.0%▲
54.5%
58.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2012 | 3 | 15:38 | Defensive | Zenon Konopka |
| Jan 31, 2012 | 3 | 03:55 | Offensive | Zenon Konopka |
| Jan 31, 2012 | 2 | 02:18 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 31, 2012 | 1 | 02:02 | Neutral | Zenon Konopka |
| Dec 14, 2011 | 2 | 05:31 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |