Scouting Report
Evgeni Malkin holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Kreider wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Malkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kreider 43.3% vs Malkin 45.9% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kreider 65.0%
Defensive zone
Malkin 70.3%
Neutral zone
Kreider 55.9%
Result
Chris Kreider favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Kreider
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Kreider
Malkin
Last 6: Kreider 3-3 Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kreider
2
0
Kreider
Malkin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
0
2
Kreider
Malkin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kreider
Malkin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kreider
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
43.6% (704)
45.6% (10,081)
-2.0%
Power Play
36.6% (71)
50.1% (668)
-13.5%
Penalty Kill
31.3% (32)
32.2% (59)
-0.9%
On power play, Malkin has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Kreider is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (508).
Kreider shoots left. Malkin is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,274).
Home / Away
Kreider
Malkin
Home
43.4% (417)
47.6% (5,395)
Away
41.5% (390)
44.0% (5,436)
By Period
Kreider
Malkin
P1
41.3%
45.9%
P2
43.8%
46.2%
P3
43.0%
45.2%
OT
28.6%
49.0%
Final 5 min
46.2%
46.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kreider
44.0%▲
38.0%
42.5%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2023 | 1 | 13:18 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 1 | 01:03 | Offensive | Chris Kreider |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 1 | 02:48 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 1 | 17:53 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 12, 2019 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Chris Kreider |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 1 | 04:29 | Offensive | Chris Kreider |