Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +15.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kreider 47.1% vs Stenlund 54.3% (-15.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kreider 71.7%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 92.4%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 60.6%
Result
Chris Kreider favored at 71.7%
71.7%
28.3%
Kreider
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Kreider
Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kreider
1
0
Kreider
Stenlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kreider
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
36.0% (25)
56.1% (615)
-20.1%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
53.2% (47)
+9.3%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (3)
52.1% (307)
-52.1%
On penalty kill, Stenlund has a +52.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Kreider is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (8).
Kreider shoots left. Stenlund is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (649).
Home / Away
Kreider
Stenlund
Home
47.4% (19)
57.0% (458)
Away
29.4% (17)
52.6% (511)
By Period
Kreider
Stenlund
P1
54.5%
55.1%
P2
35.7%
53.3%
P3
27.3%
56.4%
Final 5 min
57.1%
57.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kreider
44.0%▲
38.0%
38.9%
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2026 | 1 | 05:02 | Offensive | Chris Kreider |