Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +19.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kreider wins 35.5% vs right-shot opponents — Stenlund shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kreider 45.8% vs Stenlund 58.3% (-19.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kreider 80.8%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 79.8%
Neutral zone
Kreider 55.3%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 55.5%
44.5%
55.5%
Kreider
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Kreider
Stenlund
Last 5: Kreider 2-3 Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kreider
2
0
Kreider
Stenlund
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
0
3
Kreider
Stenlund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kreider
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
37.3% (59)
58.6% (797)
-21.3%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
62.5% (24)
+12.5%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
60.5% (233)
-20.5%
On even strength, Stenlund has a +21.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Kreider is 35.5% vs right-shot opponents (31).
Kreider shoots left. Stenlund is 61.8% vs left-shot opponents (845).
Home / Away
Kreider
Stenlund
Home
42.9% (35)
58.6% (548)
Away
36.4% (33)
59.7% (506)
By Period
Kreider
Stenlund
P1
41.4%
60.2%
P2
37.9%
59.1%
P3
40.0%
58.3%
Final 5 min
45.5%
58.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kreider
44.0%▲
38.0%
39.7%
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
59.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2025 | 2 | 06:53 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 2 | 09:55 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 2 | 08:21 | Offensive | Chris Kreider |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 16:53 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 16:48 | Offensive | Chris Kreider |