Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (42.5% vs 43.1%). Look for Reinhart on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Kreider wins 39.3% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kreider 43.3% vs Reinhart 43.3% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kreider 76.7%
Defensive zone
Reinhart 82.5%
Neutral zone
Kreider 56.3%
Result
Sam Reinhart favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Kreider
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Kreider
Reinhart
Last 8: Kreider 3-5 Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kreider
3
1
Kreider
Reinhart
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Reinhart
0
4
Kreider
Reinhart
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kreider
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
43.6% (702)
42.5% (2,168)
+1.1%
Power Play
36.6% (71)
46.6% (519)
-10.0%
Penalty Kill
31.3% (32)
41.4% (338)
-10.1%
On penalty kill, Reinhart has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Kreider is 39.3% vs right-shot opponents (298).
Kreider shoots left. Reinhart is 41.4% vs left-shot opponents (2,276).
Home / Away
Kreider
Reinhart
Home
43.5% (416)
44.9% (1,519)
Away
41.4% (389)
41.3% (1,506)
By Period
Kreider
Reinhart
P1
41.1%
44.5%
P2
43.9%
40.4%
P3
43.0%
44.6%
OT
28.6%
43.5%
Final 5 min
46.2%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kreider
44.0%▲
37.5%
42.5%
Reinhart
46.0%▲
41.0%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2024 | 3 | 14:27 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 3 | 09:45 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 2 | 06:20 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 2 | 06:16 | Offensive | Chris Kreider |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 1 | 19:35 | Offensive | Chris Kreider |
| Jan 23, 2023 | 2 | 00:33 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 2 | 03:11 | Offensive | Chris Kreider |
| Apr 3, 2021 | 2 | 11:10 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |